NOAA Predicts Above Normal Activity for 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has raised alarm bells for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, predicting an above-normal level of activity.

The season began with an unnamed subtropical storm southeast of Nantucket, followed by Tropical Storm Arlene and Tropical Storm Bret. Subtropical Storm Don recently formed near Bermuda.

NOAA’s satellites are tracking storm activity, providing vital data for forecasting and tracking storms.

Coastal regions should prepare for a potentially active season.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

According to NOAA, the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season is expected to be above normal in activity. The Climate Prediction Center has increased their prediction to a 70% chance of 14-21 named storms. Of those, 6-11 could become hurricanes, and 2-5 of those could become major hurricanes.

Current conditions are likely to counterbalance the usually limiting atmospheric conditions associated with the ongoing El Niño event.

The hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, but storms can form at any time of the year. The season began on January 16 with an unnamed subtropical storm southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Additionally, Tropical Storm Arlene, Tropical Storm Bret, and Subtropical Storm Don have all formed since.

NOAA satellites continuously monitor the nation’s weather, providing critical data for predicting a hurricane’s path. To stay informed, follow the National Hurricane Center and the Live Hurricane Tracker.

Atlantic Hurricane Season Duration

The Atlantic Hurricane Season typically runs from June 1 to November 30. This season typically sees most tropical cyclones form within the time frame. However, it is not uncommon for cyclones to form outside of these months.

Despite this, there are still a few key points to consider when monitoring the season.

1. Cyclones can form at any time, regardless of the month.
2. Most tropical cyclones form during the official hurricane season.
3. The season runs from June 1 to November 30.

The hurricane season offers a window of time for individuals to be prepared for potential tropical cyclones. This window of opportunity is why it is so important for people to be aware of the season and stay informed. Taking the necessary steps to prepare for a potential storm can help protect lives and property.

Early Storms in the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

An unnamed subtropical storm developed southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts on January 16th, 2023, marking the start of the hurricane season.

On June 1, Tropical Storm Arlene formed off the west coast of Florida, followed by Tropical Storm Bret on June 19th, which passed north of Barbados and over St. Vincent.

Near Bermuda, a disturbance formed on July 10th and became Subtropical Storm Don on July 14th.

These three storms are the only named storms that have developed during the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season thus far.

The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor the region for further activity.

NOAA’s Satellite Monitoring

Satellites continuously monitor weather, including tropical cyclone activity, to help forecasters track movement and estimate storm centers.

NOAA satellites, like GOES-16 and GOES-18, provide real-time tracking and monitoring in the Atlantic and eastern/central Pacific hurricane basins.

The Joint Polar Satellite Systems also captures data over each spot on Earth twice a day. It measures various factors such as sea surface temperatures, atmospheric temperature and moisture, cloud top cooling, central pressure, and convective structures.

All this information is essential for predicting a hurricane’s path up to 7 days in advance.

Impact on Coastal Regions

Coastal regions can be significantly impacted by tropical storms and hurricanes. With NOAA predicting an above-normal activity for the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season, it is important for coastal residents to be aware of potential impacts.

Storms can cause widespread flooding, high winds, and dangerous surf conditions. In addition, hurricanes can bring storm surge, a phenomenon in which rising ocean waters are pushed onto land. Storm surge can cause devastating destruction to coastal communities.

Residents should be prepared with an evacuation plan and supplies in case of an emergency. It is also important to pay attention to tropical storm and hurricane forecasts to stay informed and safe.

Additional Resources

Residents should remain informed of weather conditions and be prepared with an emergency plan during the upcoming storm season as the necessary resources are available. To stay up to date, NOAA provides several resources for monitoring and predicting tropical cyclone activity. Here are three key resources to be aware of:

1. The National Hurricane Center offers the latest information on storm activity.

2. NOAA’s Live Hurricane Tracker provides up-to-date tracking and monitoring of storms in the Atlantic and eastern/central Pacific hurricane basins.

3. JPSS instruments measure sea surface temperatures and atmospheric temperature and moisture, essential for forecasting storm paths several days in advance.

These resources are invaluable for staying informed and prepared for the impending storm season.

It is important to stay tuned to the National Hurricane Center and NOAA’s satellites as the 2023 Atlantic hurricane season continues.